Steel-Hot Rolled prices, $/st last = 687 1w: -12 (-1.7%)
Consensus (median)567590560550
Standard Deviation10079620
Count of Estimates10961

In general, I expect that changes in stainless steel prices will be mostly driven by changes in prices for the main stainless steel raw materials: nickel, ferrochrome. Total production will remain strong (3-4% per annum), and the main growth will come from ex-China, India and Indonesia.


In short-term it is expected some additional cuts in China, however the price increasing in 2017 as traders rebuilt inventories suggests to us that the cuts are largely priced in. And already in 2018-2019 I expect slowing of Chinese real estate sector and thus demand decreasing. As a result I think that steel market will be balanced or in a little deficit, thus, price will be at current level or decrease slowly.