Bahrain
Petroleum production is Bahrain's most exported product, accounting for c.60% of export receipts. Aluminium production is the second most exported product, followed by finance and construction materials. The Country's natural resources are oil, associated and nonassociated natural gas, fish, and pearls. It exports Petroleum and Petroleum Products, Aluminum, Textiles. And it imports Crude Oil, Machinery, Chemicals.

Descreptive Data

Unemployment, %3.799
Ages 15-24 Population Ratio, %41.404
Population Over 65, %5.3
Net Migration Rate239000
EIU Country Risk Score51
Fitch Sovereign RatingBB-
S&P Sovereign RatingB+
Moody's Sovereign Rating
Big Mac Index

Economic Data

201620172018
Ability to Pay
Real GDP YOY%4%2.9%5.4%
GDP Value (BLN USD)313538
GDP per Capita (USD)241462432625483
Currency Reserves ex Gold (BLN USD)2.42.62.1
Reserves 1Y Chg (%)-28%7.7%-19%
Total External Debt (%GDP)72%90%
Total External Debt (BLN USD)2331
Budget Surplus/def (%GDP)-4.7%
Inflation (Risk)
CPI (yoy %)2.8%1.4%2.1%
Trade Balance
Current Account (% of GDP)-4.7%-4.5%-5.9%
Exports (BLN USD)7.71014
Imports (BLN USD)151315
Unemployment Rate
Unemployment (%)3.7%3.6%3.9%

Financial Data

201620172018
Equity & Banking Sector (Risk)
1Y Price Change (%) (BHSEASI Index)0.4%9.1%0.4%
EIU Banking Risk4948
Credit Market (Risk)
10Y Bond Spread (10Y UST)104103101
5Y CDS
Foreign Exchange (Risk)
3 Month Deposit (%)1.5%2.3%3.6%
FX Vol - 3M Implied Vol
Historical 3M Volatility0.41.10.2
Real Effective Exchange Rate115115109
Real Rates (%)-1.3%0.8%1.5%

Political Risk

201620172018
Political Risk Exposure
EIU Political Risk5757
Risk From Doing Business
Ease of Doing Business Rank666366
Starting a Business Rank1427375
Risk From Government
WGI Control Of Corruption-0.06-0.1-0.2
WGI Govt Effectiveness0.30.20.2
WGI Regulatory Quality0.60.40.5
WGI Rule Of Law0.50.50.4
Deviation of Bahrain's risk relative to Geo Peers
-100 = min risk100 = max risk,
Less RiskPeer AverageMore Risk